EVOLUTION OF THE SUGARCANE INDUSTRY IN THE SÃO PAULO STATE

Carvalho, Luiz Carlos Corrêa de;

Resumo:

The evolution of the sugarcane fields in the São Paulo State in the 2000s shows an annual growth of 10.3% in products volume over the last eight years, demonstrating a significant investment in this industry. As far as products are concerned, sugar had a yearly growth of 10.3%, the same rate as ethanol! This was not by mere coincidence, as this analysis will show. Among the ethanol products, the anhydrous (which is a gasoline additive) grew 4.2% per year, and the hydrated (car fuel) increased 16% per year. This difference in growth is directly related to the breakthrough caused by the launch of flex-fuel (ethanol/gasoline) cars, in view of the impressive acceptance of this product in the Brazilian market. Between 2005 and 2008, forty new plants focusing on the production of hydrated ethanol were installed in the São Paulo state. The sugarcane products mix in this state varied around 50% throughout this period, exceptions made to 2007 (47%) and 2008 (42%). The figures show a trend toward increasing ethanol in the mix. However, it is something to be observed in the next São Paulo state harvest seasons, with a potential period (over the next two years) of higher prices for sugar and, very likely, a new reversion toward ethanol. This will happen until the time when it becomes a global commodity, eliminating these sugar-ethanol shifts. This reality opens an important outlook for analysis and RAndamp;D to be done in the socio-economic and agro-industrial fields, always from the stance of sustainability and added value. The greenfields expansion has been showing internal return rates from such projects in São Paulo between 13% and 15%, depending on internal competitiveness (productivity/ costs) of the projects, their technology, handling and logistics. The effect on the whole industry production chain displays investments and expansions before the agro-industrial production, in the fuel distribution, in the co-generation of electric power and in the automotive chain.

Part 1 — Public Policy Strategies for Ethanol in Brazil :

Palavras-chave: ,

DOI: 10.5151/BlucherOA-Sugarcane-SUGARCANEBIOETHANOL_9

Referências bibliográficas
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Como citar:

CARVALHO, Luiz Carlos Corrêa de; "EVOLUTION OF THE SUGARCANE INDUSTRY IN THE SÃO PAULO STATE", p. 53 -62. In: Sugarcane bioethanol — R&D for Productivity and Sustainability. São Paulo: Blucher, .
ISBN: 978-85-212-0822-8, DOI 10.5151/BlucherOA-Sugarcane-SUGARCANEBIOETHANOL_9